• Modle CFS - Coupled Forecast System

Tendances saisonnires du CFS (Coupled Forecast System)
pour Avril 2021

Avril 2021 - Mai 2021 - Juin 2021 - Juillet 2021 - Aot 2021 - Septembre 2021


Anomalie de la temprature 2m

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
07/03/2021 12Z-1.6 C-0.8 C-1.2 C-1 C-1.4 C-1.8 C-0.2 C
07/03/2021 06Z-0.9 C+0 C+0.7 C-0.1 C-0.9 C-1 C+0 C
07/03/2021 00Z-1.6 C-1.3 C-1.3 C-0.6 C-1.3 C-3 C-1.3 C
06/03/2021 18Z-0.9 C-0.9 C-0.7 C+0.2 C-0.5 C-3.4 C-1.5 C
06/03/2021 12Z-0.1 C+0.4 C-0.1 C+0.5 C+0.5 C-0.5 C+1.5 C
06/03/2021 06Z-1 C-1 C-1.1 C+-0 C-0.4 C-2.5 C+-0 C
06/03/2021 00Z+0.3 C-0.4 C+0.7 C+0.9 C+0.9 C-1.4 C+0.8 C
05/03/2021 18Z+3 C+1.7 C+3 C+2.3 C+2.9 C+2.1 C+4.1 C
05/03/2021 12Z-1.6 C-0.7 C-0.5 C-0.3 C-1.5 C-3.2 C-2.2 C
05/03/2021 06Z-0.8 C-1.3 C-1.2 C-0.1 C+0 C-2.8 C-0.8 C
05/03/2021 00Z-0.6 C-1.3 C-1.9 C-0.6 C+0.2 C-2.6 C+0.8 C
04/03/2021 18Z-2.5 C-2 C-2.8 C-0.9 C-2.1 C-4.5 C-2.2 C
04/03/2021 12Z+2 C+0.6 C+2.8 C+1.8 C+2.4 C+0.9 C+2.5 C
04/03/2021 06Z-0.6 C-1 C-1.3 C+0.3 C-0.4 C-2.9 C-0.8 C
04/03/2021 00Z-0.6 C+0.6 C+1.1 C+0 C-0.7 C-0.4 C+0.8 C
03/03/2021 18Z+0.3 C+0.6 C+0.4 C+0.6 C+0.5 C-0.6 C+1.5 C
03/03/2021 12Z-1 C+0 C-0.2 C-0.2 C-0.9 C-1.3 C+0.4 C
03/03/2021 06Z+1.1 C+-0 C+-0 C+1 C+2.1 C-0.6 C+2.5 C
03/03/2021 00Z-0.4 C-0.3 C-0.2 C+0.5 C+0.2 C-1.8 C+0 C
02/03/2021 18Z-0.2 C-0.6 C-1.2 C+0 C+0.6 C-1.8 C+1 C
02/03/2021 12Z-0.6 C-0.7 C+0.5 C+0.6 C-0.2 C-2.1 C-1.2 C
02/03/2021 06Z-0.4 C+0.5 C+1.5 C+0.3 C-0.4 C-0.5 C+0.4 C
02/03/2021 00Z-1.6 C-1.1 C-0.8 C-0.7 C-1.1 C-2.9 C-1.6 C
01/03/2021 18Z-1 C-0.4 C-0.2 C+0.5 C-0.3 C-2.2 C-0.4 C
01/03/2021 12Z-0.3 C+0.8 C+1.7 C+0.5 C+0.2 C+0.2 C+0.6 C
01/03/2021 06Z+1.9 C+0.9 C+2.5 C+1.6 C+1.8 C+0.8 C+2.4 C
01/03/2021 00Z-0.3 C-0.7 C+0 C+0.2 C+0.4 C-1.9 C+0.5 C
28/02/2021 18Z-0.5 C-0.3 C-0.1 C+0.2 C-0.1 C-1.9 C+0.1 C
28/02/2021 12Z-0.3 C+0 C+0.2 C+0.8 C+-0 C-1.7 C-0.1 C
28/02/2021 06Z+0.3 C+0.5 C+0.4 C+0.8 C+0.7 C-0.4 C+1.6 C
Moyenne-0.4 C-0.3 C+0 C+0.3 C+0 C-1.5 C+0.3 C

Anomalie de la temprature 850hPa

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
07/03/2021 12Z-1.7 C-1.7 C-2.3 C-3 C-1.6 C-1.3 C-1.1 C
07/03/2021 06Z-1.1 C-0.2 C+0.4 C-0.6 C-1.7 C-0.2 C-1.1 C
07/03/2021 00Z-2.2 C-2.3 C-2.4 C-2.4 C-2.3 C-2.3 C-2 C
06/03/2021 18Z-1.8 C-2.1 C-2.2 C-1 C-1.2 C-3.1 C-3 C
06/03/2021 12Z-0.1 C-0.4 C-0.7 C-1 C-0.2 C+0.4 C+0.8 C
06/03/2021 06Z-1.6 C-2.2 C-2.7 C-2.1 C-1.3 C-2 C-1.2 C
06/03/2021 00Z+0.3 C-0.9 C+0.2 C+0.6 C+0.6 C-0.4 C+0.1 C
05/03/2021 18Z+4.1 C+1.7 C+3.1 C+3.4 C+4 C+3.3 C+4.3 C
05/03/2021 12Z-2.3 C-2.1 C-1.1 C-0.3 C-2.1 C-3.1 C-3.9 C
05/03/2021 06Z-1.7 C-2.7 C-2.9 C-1.6 C-1 C-2.6 C-2.3 C
05/03/2021 00Z-0.4 C-2.3 C-2.5 C-2 C-0.1 C-1.5 C+0.3 C
04/03/2021 18Z-3.1 C-3.2 C-3.6 C-3 C-3 C-3.7 C-3.4 C
04/03/2021 12Z+2.9 C+0.4 C+2.1 C+2.1 C+2.9 C+1.9 C+1.9 C
04/03/2021 06Z-1.8 C-2.7 C-2.9 C-1 C-1.5 C-2.9 C-2.4 C
04/03/2021 00Z+0.3 C+1 C+1.3 C+0.1 C-0.3 C+0.8 C+0.3 C
03/03/2021 18Z+0.1 C+0.6 C-0.3 C-0.2 C-0.1 C+0.5 C+0.9 C
03/03/2021 12Z-1.6 C+0.1 C-1 C-1.7 C-1.8 C-0.9 C-1 C
03/03/2021 06Z+1.1 C-0.3 C-0.4 C-0.2 C+1.9 C+0.4 C+2.3 C
03/03/2021 00Z-0.5 C-0.8 C-0.9 C-1.1 C-0.3 C-1.3 C-0.9 C
02/03/2021 18Z-0.2 C-1.5 C-2.5 C-1 C+0.9 C-1.1 C+0.3 C
02/03/2021 12Z-1.2 C-1.6 C+-0 C+0.5 C-1.3 C-1.9 C-2.4 C
02/03/2021 06Z-0.8 C+0.8 C+1 C-0.6 C-1.7 C+0.3 C-0.9 C
02/03/2021 00Z-2.1 C-2.1 C-2.1 C-2.3 C-2 C-2.1 C-2.5 C
01/03/2021 18Z-1.8 C-0.7 C-1 C-0.1 C-1.5 C-2 C-1.9 C
01/03/2021 12Z+0.2 C+1.8 C+2.7 C+0.4 C-0.1 C+1.4 C-0.3 C
01/03/2021 06Z+2.1 C+2.1 C+2.7 C+2 C+1.8 C+1.9 C+1.7 C
01/03/2021 00Z-0.4 C-1.8 C-1.1 C-1.1 C-0.1 C-1.3 C-0.2 C
28/02/2021 18Z-1.1 C-0.7 C-1.3 C-1.6 C-0.8 C-1.3 C-0.8 C
28/02/2021 12Z-0.2 C-0.7 C-0.5 C+0.2 C-0.1 C-1.2 C-1 C
28/02/2021 06Z+0.2 C-0.1 C+-0 C-0.5 C+0.4 C+0.3 C+0.9 C
Moyenne-0.5 C-0.8 C-0.7 C-0.6 C-0.5 C-0.8 C-0.6 C

Anomalie de quantit de prcipitations

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
07/03/2021 12Z+34.8 %-8.8 %+3.7 %-63.8 %-2 %-26.6 %-15 %
07/03/2021 06Z-11.3 %-13.4 %-23 %+11.3 %-59.8 %+16.3 %+7.4 %
07/03/2021 00Z-9.9 %-12.9 %-10.7 %+1.5 %-45.8 %+36.9 %+6.3 %
06/03/2021 18Z-12.7 %-14.6 %-24.8 %-34 %-22.9 %-31.2 %-48.2 %
06/03/2021 12Z+3.6 %+47.7 %+21.3 %-44.8 %-43.7 %+25.5 %-13.9 %
06/03/2021 06Z+34.6 %-36.5 %-4.5 %+76.3 %+9.7 %-2.5 %-19 %
06/03/2021 00Z-27.5 %+64 %-1.2 %-35.3 %-63.2 %+18.5 %+22.7 %
05/03/2021 18Z-26.2 %+28.2 %+78.2 %-14.4 %-53.4 %-10.2 %-58.5 %
05/03/2021 12Z-44.6 %-82.6 %-79.1 %-79.4 %-36.1 %-51.5 %-7.8 %
05/03/2021 06Z-62.8 %+20.6 %-50.7 %-35.5 %-71 %-50.8 %-53.4 %
05/03/2021 00Z+31.9 %+48.1 %+28 %+16.1 %-20.2 %+12.3 %+17.2 %
04/03/2021 18Z+110.6 %+59.5 %+151.7 %+75.2 %+77.2 %+107.4 %+30.9 %
04/03/2021 12Z+1.1 %-30.5 %-26.6 %+16.1 %-16.2 %-27.2 %-42.9 %
04/03/2021 06Z-44.7 %-47.4 %-42.3 %-64.4 %-39.3 %-31.8 %-48.2 %
04/03/2021 00Z+30.9 %-8.5 %+3.4 %-16.1 %+34.2 %-26.3 %-21.4 %
03/03/2021 18Z-38 %+90.7 %-30.2 %-30.2 %-47.2 %+28.4 %-18.7 %
03/03/2021 12Z+78.9 %-72.3 %-37.9 %+12.3 %+90.7 %-19.7 %+40.1 %
03/03/2021 06Z+38.5 %+29.2 %+36.4 %+36.1 %+45.4 %+62.5 %+33.3 %
03/03/2021 00Z+90.5 %-76.4 %+67.7 %+103.1 %+93.6 %+33.5 %+30.8 %
02/03/2021 18Z+23.6 %-5.5 %+7.3 %-24.3 %+12 %+40.1 %+8.8 %
02/03/2021 12Z-30.8 %-49.4 %-52.3 %-46.5 %-51 %-28.5 %-5.3 %
02/03/2021 06Z-24.8 %-23 %+4.1 %-36.1 %-22.4 %+9.5 %+40.7 %
02/03/2021 00Z-39.6 %-30.3 %-49.8 %-75.5 %-61.4 %-43.1 %-17.9 %
01/03/2021 18Z-79.3 %+29.2 %-81.9 %-75.2 %-73.2 %-13 %-24.4 %
01/03/2021 12Z-5.5 %+32.3 %-74.8 %-31.5 %-12.2 %-7.8 %+11.7 %
01/03/2021 06Z+12.8 %-72.7 %-35.1 %-37.2 %+13.5 %-23.8 %+28.3 %
01/03/2021 00Z+30.8 %-0.2 %-62.6 %-31 %-15 %+27.1 %+13.9 %
28/02/2021 18Z+24 %-65.2 %+14 %+25.1 %+8.8 %-26.5 %+31.8 %
28/02/2021 12Z+83.9 %+1.1 %+92.5 %+45.1 %+78.8 %+54.3 %+31.1 %
28/02/2021 06Z+24.7 %+10.5 %+18.3 %+2.8 %+0.4 %+45.2 %+37.2 %
Moyenne+6.6 %-6.3 %-5.4 %-11.8 %-9.7 %+3.2 %-0.1 %

Anomalie de pression

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
07/03/2021 12Z+2.1 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.7 hPa+3.7 hPa+3 hPa+0.2 hPa+1.1 hPa
07/03/2021 06Z+1 hPa-1.1 hPa-2.6 hPa+0.3 hPa+3 hPa-1.3 hPa+0.4 hPa
07/03/2021 00Z+0.1 hPa-1.4 hPa-1.4 hPa-0.1 hPa+1.4 hPa-1 hPa-0.5 hPa
06/03/2021 18Z+2.5 hPa-1.8 hPa+1.5 hPa+4.1 hPa+3.2 hPa+0.2 hPa+1.2 hPa
06/03/2021 12Z+1.1 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.1 hPa+2.4 hPa+1.5 hPa-0.2 hPa-0.1 hPa
06/03/2021 06Z+0.2 hPa+1.7 hPa+2.1 hPa+0.6 hPa-0.8 hPa+1.8 hPa+0.7 hPa
06/03/2021 00Z+0.4 hPa+-0 hPa-1.1 hPa-0.8 hPa+0.8 hPa-0.2 hPa-0.3 hPa
05/03/2021 18Z+0 hPa+0.9 hPa-1.4 hPa-1.3 hPa+0.9 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.5 hPa
05/03/2021 12Z+8.2 hPa+4.5 hPa+6.7 hPa+10.1 hPa+7.8 hPa+6.5 hPa+6.9 hPa
05/03/2021 06Z+6.4 hPa+1.6 hPa+4.4 hPa+7.4 hPa+7.6 hPa+3.3 hPa+5 hPa
05/03/2021 00Z-5.4 hPa-7.4 hPa-6.8 hPa-3.5 hPa-3.7 hPa-7.4 hPa-6.8 hPa
04/03/2021 18Z-6.3 hPa-3.1 hPa-3 hPa-6.2 hPa-7.2 hPa-3.6 hPa-5.2 hPa
04/03/2021 12Z+1.9 hPa+3.8 hPa+1 hPa+0.8 hPa+2.4 hPa+2.6 hPa+3.1 hPa
04/03/2021 06Z+6.1 hPa+1.3 hPa+6.3 hPa+8.7 hPa+6.2 hPa+3.5 hPa+3.9 hPa
04/03/2021 00Z+1.5 hPa+0.5 hPa-0.2 hPa+1.2 hPa+2 hPa+0.7 hPa+1.3 hPa
03/03/2021 18Z-2.7 hPa-4.9 hPa-3.4 hPa-2.4 hPa-2.2 hPa-4.2 hPa-3.2 hPa
03/03/2021 12Z+1.4 hPa+3.2 hPa+4 hPa+1.7 hPa-0.1 hPa+3.3 hPa+1.5 hPa
03/03/2021 06Z-4.2 hPa-2.5 hPa-3.5 hPa-5.5 hPa-4.6 hPa-3.1 hPa-4 hPa
03/03/2021 00Z-1.9 hPa+2.2 hPa+1.5 hPa-3.2 hPa-3.4 hPa+1.5 hPa-0.3 hPa
02/03/2021 18Z-2.5 hPa-3.8 hPa-2.2 hPa-1 hPa-1.7 hPa-3.9 hPa-3.6 hPa
02/03/2021 12Z+5.3 hPa+3 hPa+3.6 hPa+5.8 hPa+5.8 hPa+3.9 hPa+4.7 hPa
02/03/2021 06Z+2.5 hPa+3.5 hPa+2.6 hPa+2.7 hPa+1.7 hPa+3 hPa+2.5 hPa
02/03/2021 00Z+4.7 hPa+1.5 hPa+1.9 hPa+6.4 hPa+5.6 hPa+2.2 hPa+3.3 hPa
01/03/2021 18Z+6.4 hPa+1.8 hPa+5.6 hPa+8.4 hPa+5.7 hPa+4.1 hPa+4.5 hPa
01/03/2021 12Z+6.6 hPa+5.6 hPa+4.4 hPa+6.4 hPa+6.7 hPa+5.7 hPa+6.7 hPa
01/03/2021 06Z+3 hPa+4.7 hPa+4 hPa+3.1 hPa+2 hPa+4.5 hPa+3.2 hPa
01/03/2021 00Z+2.6 hPa+1.2 hPa+2.4 hPa+3.5 hPa+2.8 hPa+1.6 hPa+1.4 hPa
28/02/2021 18Z+1.6 hPa+1.8 hPa+2.8 hPa+0.9 hPa+1.1 hPa+2.3 hPa+1.7 hPa
28/02/2021 12Z-1.1 hPa+0.9 hPa+1.6 hPa-1.1 hPa-2.4 hPa+1 hPa-0.5 hPa
28/02/2021 06Z-1.5 hPa+0.1 hPa-1.2 hPa-2.6 hPa-1.8 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.4 hPa
Moyenne+1.3 hPa+0.6 hPa+1 hPa+1.7 hPa+1.4 hPa+0.9 hPa+0.9 hPa

Cartes d'anomalie pour le dernier run de CFS

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Prcisions
Les calculs d'anomalies sont raliss partir des donnes de la priode 1982-2010. Le modle Coupled Forecast System (CFSv2) est donc un modle saisonnier qui est lanc une 4 tous les jours avec les donnes de ranalyse du NCEP. Les runs ont environ 1 jour de retard puisque le temps de calcul du modèle est très long.

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